May 06, 2003
SARS Death Rate And Incubation Period Estimates Raised

The latest estimates for the SARS mortality rate is even higher than the last revision upwards.

The mortality rate for those younger than 60 is between 6.8 percent and 13.2 percent, but jumps to between 43.3 percent and 55 percent for those 60 and older, the study found.

This work is being published in The Lancet.

The research, led by Dr. Roy M. Anderson and Dr. Christl A. Donnelly, both of Imperial College in London, is to be reported in Saturday's issue of The Lancet, the British-based medical journal.

The current 10 day quarantine period used for those suspected of exposure to SARS may not be long enough.

The Lancet study, based on 1,425 SARS cases in Hong Kong up to April 28, also found that the maximum incubation period -- the time it takes between getting infected and becoming ill -- may be as long as 14 days.

Here is my advice for the day: Do Not Get SARS! Also, stay the heck away from China.

Share |      Randall Parker, 2003 May 06 11:10 PM  Dangers Natural Bio

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