A new method to synthesize long sequences of DNA lowers costs and increases speed of synthesis by orders of magnitude. (same article here)
HOUSTON, Dec. 22, 2004 – Devices the size of a pager now have greater capabilities than computers that once occupied an entire room. Similar advances are being made in the emerging field of synthetic biology at the University of Houston, now allowing researchers to inexpensively program the chemical synthesis of entire genes on a single microchip.
Xiaolian Gao, a professor in the department of biology and biochemistry at UH, works at the leading edge of this field. Her recent findings on how to mass produce multiple genes on a single chip are described in a paper titled "Accurate multiplex gene synthesis from programmable DNA microchips," appearing in the current issue of Nature, the weekly scientific journal for biological and physical sciences research.
"Synthetic genes are like a box of Lego building blocks," Gao said. "Their organization is very complex, even in simple organisms. By making programmed synthesis of genes economical, we can provide more efficient tools to aid the efforts of researchers to understand the molecular mechanisms that regulate biological systems. There are many potential biochemical and biomedical applications."
Most immediately, examples include understanding the regulation of gene function. Down the road, these efforts will improve health care, medicine and the environment at a fundamental level.
Long time FuturePundit readers have heard me argue that the rate of advance of biotechnology is increasingly resembling the rate of advance of electronics technologies such as silicon chip fabrication, hard drive fabrication, and fiber optic fabrication where the technologies produce gains in capacities and speeds that give them doubling times in months to years. Well for just this one biotechnological capability - the rate at which DNA can be synthesized - the advance has been by two whole orders of magnitude in a single step forward. This rate of increase is at least briefly many times faster than the rates of increase of the electronics technologies.
Using current methods, programmed synthesis of a typical gene costs thousands of dollars. Thus, the prospect of creating the most primitive of living organisms, which requires synthesis of several thousand genes, would be prohibitive, costing millions of dollars and years of time. The system developed by Gao and her partners employs digital technology similar to that used in making computer chips and thereby reduces cost and time factors drastically. Gao's group estimates that the new technology will be about one hundred times more cost- and time-efficient than current technologies.
With this discovery, Gao and her colleagues have developed a technology with the potential to make complete functioning organisms that can produce energy, neutralize toxins and make drugs and artificial genes that could eventually be used in gene therapy procedures. Gene therapy is a promising approach to the treatment of genetic disorders, debilitating neurological diseases such as Parkinson's and endocrine disorders such as diabetes. This technology may therefore yield profound benefits for human health and quality of life.
Is this the sign of more things to come? Will the rate of increase of DNA sequencing technologies take a step forward as great as the step just made by DNA synthesis technologies? A couple of order of magnitude decrease in DNA sequencing costs would put personal DNA sequencing within reach for wealthy people anyway and would produce a great acceleration in the rate at which the effects of various genetic sequence variations are identified.
This advance in DNA sequencing sounds great, right? But some of you must be thinking that this technology could be used for nefarious purposes to construct dangerous pathogens such as smallpox or a massive killer influenza strain. Well, this fear is not limited only to the circles of educated laymen. Nicholas Wade of the New York Times reports that some scientists are concerned that fast DNA synthesis technology will make construction of dangerous pathogens too easy. (same article here and here
"This has the potential for a revolutionary impact in the ease of synthesis of large DNA molecules," said Richard Ebright, a molecular biologist at Rutgers University with an interest in bioterrorism.
"This will permit efficient and rapid synthesis of any select agent virus genome in very short order," he added, referring to the list of dangerous pathogens and toxins that must be registered with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
George Church of Harvard, one of the collaborators in the development of these machines, is so concerned about the potential danger of this technology that he would like to see the machines sold only to labs that register with the government.
Most of the really dangerous pathogens have had their DNA sequenced and published in the public domain. For example, the genomes of at least a dozen pox viruses including smallpox have been sequenced and published. Feel safe with the knowledge that some governments are contracting production of large amounts of smallpox vaccine? Well, greater understanding many viruses (and very likely smallpox among them) will eventually provide enough understanding to allow the construction virus variations that have surface antigen structures different enough that existing viruses will not provide much if any protection.
Now of course the problem with highly transmissible pathogens such as smallpox as bioterrorism agents is that they are likely to spread across the world and into societies that terrorists may be seeking to protect against perceived threats coming from other societies in a Clash of Civilizations. Most terrorist groups are therefore likely to rule out the use highly transmissible pathogens as terrorism weapons. A guy like Osama Bin Laden must understand that if he releases a large amount of smallpox in America then good Muslims will die when the disease inevitably spreads across international borders.
Still, it is not at all impossible that some religious fringe group could decide God has called on it to kill people all over the world because the human race has rejected some special message that all humans should recognize as obvious. Still other terrorists could decide that God has told them that only the unfaithful will be felled by some pathogen.
Technologies and capabilities are needed to enable better responses to a deadly outbreak of a lethal natural or human-made disease pandemic. We need biotechnologies that accelerate by orders of magnitude the rate at which new vaccines and drug treatments can be developed. Also, we need to develop more capabilities to "harden" society against a major pandemic in the same way that militaries harden bunkers against bombs. We need ways to reduce inter-human contacts by orders of magnitude while still allowing the bulk of normal operations of society to be performed. We need rapidly manufacturable face masks, building air filters, and other technologies that could reduce the ease of transmission of airborne pathogens.
By Randall Parker at 2005 January 15 09:34 PM Biotech Advance Rates | TrackBackExcellent Post!!!
This technology is incredible and will dramatically change the world over the next 10 years.
The potential for good is immense and the potential for disaster is also immense. How do we continue to develop this type of technology without it falling into the hands of those who would destroy humanity?
The end of the cold war was not the end of history as some argued. It was the end of ideologies/governments dominating the human condition and the rise of individuals citizens capable of destroying humanity.
I also think that this type technology must be understood by those seeking to revamp the health care system. I for one am very concerned that people trying to do the “right” thing by socializing health care will shut down innovation. This would be a great mistake.
I think biotechnology is beginning to deliver on the promises that many of us knew it would deliver in the 80s.
Thanks for pointing out the danger.
However, I think there is are two other issues that should be brought up in the weaponization of a synthesized virus.
First, a small band of fanatics can try to tinkering wildly with a know virus and release it. Pray that statistics are on their side and that they get at least one pathogen that can not be treated. No testing required, just build millions of variations, infect the faithful and await paradise.
Second, a nation state, (or equivalent) that can conduct experiments on human subjects (e.g. political prisoners) is in a position to develop a weaponized pathogen, tests it infectiousness, it lethality, etc. Additionally, the leaders of that nation state are in a position to develop and MOST importantly test a vaccine. At this point they have a novel pathogen that only the 'select' in the contry are protected by. At this point, the state have a viable biological weapon that can be released on the world.
The second scenario is the one that concerns me.
I am hanging in there until they can gene me back to my 20 year old self. You know that I managed to look twenty well into my forties. There has to be something to this gene business. Obviously Prince Harry got Diana's good looks, but he also inherited the Windsor's AKA (House of Hanover) stupidity and Nazi sympathizer genes. LPG
I used to worry a lot about concerns like these, but actually, when one looks at history, one sees that even before we had vaccination for most diseases they were becoming less common. Better sanitation means that not only will any deadly pathogen hit the third world as well as the West, it will hit the third world much much harder than it hits the west.
“A group of MIT engineers wanted to model the biological world. But, damn, some of nature's designs were complicated! So they started rebuilding from the ground up - and gave birth to synthetic biology.”
p,
I share your concern that the desire to lower medical costs will lead to socialistic changes that decrease the incentive for innovation. Yes, I agree that the promise of biotech looks like it is finally going to start being achieved.
What was most startling about this report is the step forward in capability by 2 orders of magnitude in one fell swoop. Suppose this happens with other manipulations of biological molecules. Suddenly advances expected to happen in the distant future could happen within the lifetimes of the vast bulk of us.
My guess is that the semiconductor industry is going to look increasingly at biology and medicine and ask what they can do with their ability to work on incredibly small scales with large amounts of parallelism. I've been predicting acceleration of biotech advance rates to electronics industry rates of progress since my second FuturePundit post.
I think, ultimately, our best protection against the types of rogue, biological attacks you discuss is going to be an increasingly densely interconnected population. One of the first widespread applications of MEMS/Nano technologies is going to be in the form of implanted labs-on-a-chip which will constantly monitor the health of individuals. When something goes wrong, wireless technology will automatically summon medical help. As the sensor suites become ever more sophisticated (and active), and the communication networks become ever more ubiquitous, the ability to respond to intentional hostile acts will become faster, more sophisticated, and more effective. If we can develop an architecture that allows this type of emergency health information to be sorted and routed effectively, the ability to stop epidemic or contagious disease agents could become very powerful. This will be a problem, but I think we'll be able to develop the quick-response infrastructure to keep it from becoming an overwhelming problem.
I agree with P - a most Excellent Post!
It is timely for me in that I have been following Dr. Venter's work (both here and elsewhere) and I recently read that excellent article in the latest Wired magazine.
Imho though, we are moving technologically well beyond our ability to safely control these technologies at this point.
Frankly we are just not socially advanced enough as a species to be doing what we are doing (and begining to do) in these fields.
I have a bachelor's in Genetics and Molecular Biology as well as a minor in Computer Science yet I have refused to work in the biological fields because I know just how irresponsible and unsafe these labs (and their over zealous Doctors) are.
However, I am no luddite, I believe once we have established a one world semi-socialist government, (not unlike the one portrayed, say, in Star Trek or other Sicence Fiction), that we can again move forward with greater accuracy and safety in these areas.
And I'm not talking about banning medical (or anti-aging) research, but our rapid exploration of synthetic biology at this point is like letting a child play with a gun and it should be opposed or at least regulated by the intellectual elite such as ourselves and not be left in the hands of unpredictable politicians and military leaders.
On a side note I wonder if aliens observing Earth would interfere with our culture in the face of a Biological or Nuclear Catastrophe - I suspect they might.
Something that has long been on my mind concerning the ability to rapidly decode/design/assemble organisms is that this will probably lead to a new kind of arms race. Group A (government, terrorist, etc.) uses their new genome designing super-super-super computer to design a viral weapon (e.g. ebola variant) and other groups, learning of this event through their spy networks, will use their genome decoding super-super-super computer design a defense (vaccine, antibody, anti-ebola virus, etc.) This will go back and forth with each group trying to get the upper hand by designing defenses against all known biological weapons, but coming up with a weapon so clever that no one can trump it. This whole process will quickly devolve into a biological arms race.