October 14, 2013
AI Machine Vision Seen As Next Big Thing
What is coming as the biggest change in the next 10 years? I'm thinking robotics. Sensors everywhere and smart machines that can process images and manipulate the environment.
Self-driving cars, factory robots and a new class of farm hands known as ag-robots are already demonstrating what increasingly mobile machines can do. Indeed, the rapid advance of computer vision is just one of a set of artificial intelligence-oriented technologies — others include speech recognition, dexterous manipulation and navigation — that underscore a sea change beyond personal computing and the Internet, the technologies that have defined the last three decades of the computing world.
Better machine vision systems are key for the spread of robots out of highly controlled settings to do work in the field. The spread of robots into agricultural work and into large solar power installations speaks to a move of robots into the great outdoors.
The article suggests that outsourced call center work will come back to the United States from Asia in the form of very sophisticated computers that will do much of the work now done by call center workers.
Robotic solar panel installer Alion Energy claims it can build utility-scale solar panel farms in half the time with large savings in labor costs. Alion is soon going to use their robotic panel installers in a few sites around the world and they also have a machine that cleans panel surfaces.
A revolutionizing rate of advance of computers and robots seems more certain in the next 10 years than a revolution in biomedical technologies. I'd rather have a revolution in rejuvenation therapies. One can only hope that robots will automate all lab work so that scientists can use all the freed up time to design experiments and analyze results at a faster rate.
Randall Parker, 2013 October 14 10:17 PM
I've been waiting for decent machine vision for 15 years. It is a key technology needed for robotics.
I'd rather have a revolution in rejuvenation therapies.
I'd rather have a change in immigration policy. All those Mexican farmworkers wont have anything to do except to wait around for their next redistribution check.
What's a redistribution check?
Sounds a little like Milton Friedman's negative income tax, but there's no sign of that yet...
RP writes: " I'd rather have a revolution in rejuvenation therapies. One can only hope that robots will automate all lab work so that scientists can use all the freed up time to design experiments and analyze results at a faster rate."
As someone who was SMI^2LE before it was cool, I can attest to the crazy-making embodied in the form of government that tests social theories on unwilling human subjects. RP is, of course, crazy to think the current social theories being tested on us would produce anything like rational markets hence technological progress commensurate with potentials. But worse, he is crazy to think that anything but sorting proponents of social theories into governments that test them is going to break through this meta problem of theocratic social science, and provide humane society.
Redistribution: SNAP (food stamps), section 8 housing vouchers, Medicaid, subsidies for Obamacare medical insurance policies, TANF, and numerous other programs.
I was amused by the "redistribution" label, which of course doesn't exist.
On a more serious note, I think you have to be legally in the country (aka "documented") to get any of those things. I suspect the number of Mexican farmworkers on any of those programs is a lot smaller than JP Straley is thinking.
And, of course, I have a hard time believing that CEO salaries that are 500 x as large as the lowest salaries in their corporation are really adding value that is proportionately that high.
In other words, when Walmart employees are receiving SNAP and healthcare subsidies, who's being subsidized: the employee or Walmart?
An illegal with legal kids can get SNAP and other stuff for the kids. As for the illegal herself: I doubt the social workers want to turn her down. Plus, if an illegal turns up at a hospital emergency ward she will get treated.
Employers and welfare state subsidies: Yes, the employers are getting the subsidy. This is especially the case with farm workers.