November 06, 2013
Odds Of Large Asteroid Strike Raised By Order Of Magnitude

Be ready to duck and cover. Recent scientific research has caused scientists to boost their estimated risk of a large asteroid strike.

We need a much larger effort to search for asteroids on dangerous courses headed for Earth. This will give us more time to duck and cover. Bert the turtle never gets hurt:

Duck into your personal bomb shelter if an asteroid strike is going to be close but not directly on you. If you sleep in your bomb shelter then at least at night the lack of warning won't be a problem.

Share |      Randall Parker, 2013 November 06 08:38 PM 

James Bowery said at November 6, 2013 9:12 PM:

Actuarial thinking demands a lot more investment in EMP hardening of critical infrastructure but then why should _I_ care? Its pretty obvious that civilization selects for idiocracy.

Randall Parker said at November 7, 2013 9:17 AM:


Since a rising fraction of what the government spends its money on is just transfer payments we certainly have to expect that government will do less to protect us against common threats. Granted, government protecting us from common threats is far far cheaper than each of us protecting ourselves. But protections against EMP, asteriods, massive volcanic eruptions and the like are not on offer. So you've got to do what you can to protect yourself.

Cassandra was able to predict the fall of Troy, was ignored, and was killed as a result. I'd like to see some of us do better for ourselves than Cassandra did.

James Bowery said at November 7, 2013 10:22 AM:

In its "training" for local law enforcement, the Department of Homeland Security has specifically cited owning a copy of "One Second After" as an indicator of someone who could become a home grown terror threat.

The problem isn't merely that transfer payments are making funds unavailable to prudent government action, its that money not going into transfer payments are actively attacking prudent action by the citizenry.

Randall Parker said at November 7, 2013 12:30 PM:

Geez, I wonder if the NSA has me flagged because I've bought a lot of Kindle disaster novels? Or do they only have me flagged because of my blog posts? Also, what's my ranking in their "potential future revolutionary" machine learning model?

James Bowery said at November 7, 2013 10:40 PM:

Maybe North Korea has some Manchurian Candidates in the US government promoting, via the Department of Homeland Security, the treatment of "preppers" -- particularly those concerned about ICBM delivery of an EMP over the center of the US -- as "threats" to the US government.

OK, its not too likely but the alternative is even more frightening -- that the DHS is doing it out of sheer idiocracy.

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