September 20, 2015
Robotic Drones Build Rope Bridge

So far only rope bridges.

One of the benefits of fully robotic road and bridge construction: shorter periods of traffic disruption. Robots will be able to operate 24x7. A new bridge will go up in a third of the time or less. New office buildings will go up much faster too.

The CEO of big auto parts maker Magna thinks robotic advances will cause manufacturing to shift back from China to USA and Europe. This will cut shipping costs and reduce inventory costs of finished goods getting transported across oceans. Lower demand for shipping as more goods are made locally?

On the bright side, those who still have jobs will pay less for cars, boats, bicycles, and many other manufactured goods as labor costs drop by about a fifth in the next 10 years.

BCG Research Predicts That by 2025, Adoption of Advanced Robots Will Boost Productivity by Up to 30 Percent in Many Industries and Lower Total Labor Costs by 18 Percent or More in Countries Such as South Korea, China, the U.S., Japan, and Germany

Furniture, bathroom fixtures, door knobs, lamps, and countless other parts for houses will cost less. Cars will cost less. So if you can maintain your earning power in an increasingly automated society you will have access to lots of cheap goods.

Do you have a job that you expect will get automated in the next 10-15 years? Say what it is in comments. If you have an idea for what you ought to do next once a robot takes over your job say that too.

Share |      Randall Parker, 2015 September 20 01:16 PM 

mabirch said at September 22, 2015 8:32 AM:

The revolution in robotics means that most if not all product assembly work could be automated. However, a revolution in product design is also needed to allow for that. Anybody who works with any physical product can tell you that the variation of the parts AND in the configuration of products is a problem for automation. Right now only relatively high volume parts are optimized for manufacture and assembly to the point where fully automated production and assembly is practical. To fully realize the use of robotics in product manufacture standardization of the 'bits' used to make the products will need to improve. Neil Gershenfeld,the Director @ MIT's Center for Bits and Atoms has a fascinating discussion of the digitization of the physical bits that will be needed.

Nick G said at September 22, 2015 11:22 AM:

And that helps clarify the fact that new methods of automation are just like old methods: they require a lot of time for planning, implementation and management, so they're never going to happen overnight. We can only hope to get back to the 2-3% annual productivity growth that we used to get, back when the low hanging fruit was still available.

TTT said at September 25, 2015 8:15 PM:

Hi Randall,

I am a blogger, although not as prolific as you.

It is just a hobby. No net money made.

Why do you do it? What is the end strategy?

Also, I too read Roissy/Heartiste (as you do), but isn't it a risk to one's employment to even cite that type of non-PC blog favorably? Do you not worry about this?


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