June 08, 2016
Who Should Get Autonomous Vehicles First? Teen Males

See U.S. Auto Regulator Says Self-Driving Cars Must Be Twice as Safe.

If high prices of the self-driving cars select for highly successful initial owners then the cars might not lower accidents rates much even if the car computers are twice as safe as the average driver. To get the maximum benefit from self-driving cars we need the most dangerous drivers to switch to them.

First of all, teenagers are very dangerous. Also, males are more than twice as dangerous as females.

In the United States, teenagers drive less than all but the oldest people, but their numbers of crashes and crash deaths are disproportionately high. 1 In the United States, the fatal crash rate per mile driven for 16-19 year-olds is nearly 3 times the rate for drivers ages 20 and over. Risk is highest at ages 16-17. In fact, the fatal crash rate per mile driven is nearly twice as high for 16-17 year-olds as it is for 18-19 year-olds.

Autonomous vehicles will become safer than teen male drivers years before they become safer than the average person the road.

Alcohol is a big problem as well. 32% of male drivers and 22% of female drivers killed behind the wheel have blood alcohol greater than 0.08%.

Once we have autonomous vehicles the age of first drivers license should be raised. Get those dangerout teens out from behind the wheel. They are a threat to us all.

Share |      Randall Parker, 2016 June 08 09:05 PM 


Comments
Radford Neal said at June 9, 2016 8:50 PM:

This seems a bit naive. Do you really think that the reason teenage males drive cars fast is that they have a desire to get quickly from Point A to Point B, which could be better accomplished using a self-driving car?

Brett Bellmore said at June 10, 2016 3:07 AM:

If you raise the age of first drivers license in response to self-driving cars, you might as well continue to raise it one year every year... One of the reasons new drivers are dangerous is lack of practice. You'd just be raising the age at which people were driving without extensive practice.

Nick G said at June 10, 2016 4:31 PM:

If high prices of the self-driving cars select for highly successful initial owners then the cars might not lower accidents rates much

Drivers over roughly the age of 75 are just as dangerous, and many of them have both money and awareness of growing disability.

david Gobel said at June 14, 2016 8:25 AM:

Nice post and great analysis! Automatic driving would also dramatically reduce inattention risk from texting etc. Also, parents of teens who are passengers might digitally insist that they will only allow automatic driving since it has also been shown that highest risk occurs when teens have a car full of buddies.

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