If high prices of the self-driving cars select for highly successful initial owners then the cars might not lower accidents rates much even if the car computers are twice as safe as the average driver. To get the maximum benefit from self-driving cars we need the most dangerous drivers to switch to them.
First of all, teenagers are very dangerous. Also, males are more than twice as dangerous as females.
In the United States, teenagers drive less than all but the oldest people, but their numbers of crashes and crash deaths are disproportionately high. 1 In the United States, the fatal crash rate per mile driven for 16-19 year-olds is nearly 3 times the rate for drivers ages 20 and over. Risk is highest at ages 16-17. In fact, the fatal crash rate per mile driven is nearly twice as high for 16-17 year-olds as it is for 18-19 year-olds.
Autonomous vehicles will become safer than teen male drivers years before they become safer than the average person the road.
Alcohol is a big problem as well. 32% of male drivers and 22% of female drivers killed behind the wheel have blood alcohol greater than 0.08%.
Once we have autonomous vehicles the age of first drivers license should be raised. Get those dangerout teens out from behind the wheel. They are a threat to us all.
|Share |||Randall Parker, 2016 June 08 09:05 PM|